Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kelly wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 56.2% vs Staal 51.8% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 83.6%
Defensive zone
Kelly 74.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 53.5%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Kelly
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Kelly
Staal
Last 10: Kelly 5-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
4
Kelly
Staal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
1
Kelly
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
1
Kelly
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (298)
52.4% (804)
+6.3%
Power Play
100.0% (8)
53.5% (157)
+46.5%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (67)
41.5% (53)
+7.8%
On power play, Kelly has a +46.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Kelly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Kelly shoots left. Staal is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Home / Away
Kelly
Staal
Home
60.0% (200)
52.7% (490)
Away
55.5% (173)
51.3% (524)
By Period
Kelly
Staal
P1
55.9%
56.4%
P2
58.4%
52.4%
P3
60.9%
47.4%
OT
37.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
60.0%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
57.9%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 14:27 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 09:48 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 06:07 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 13:38 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 10:48 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 05:36 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 05:17 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 1 | 16:07 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 2 | 02:48 | Offensive | Eric Staal |