Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Kelly wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 49.0% vs Staal 52.5% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 90.7%
Defensive zone
Kelly 68.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 66.2%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Kelly
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kelly
Staal
Last 6: Kelly 4-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
0
Kelly
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
0
Kelly
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Kelly
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (456)
52.0% (1,126)
-2.0%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
56.5% (239)
-16.5%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (118)
50.8% (65)
-5.9%
On power play, Staal has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Kelly is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (346).
Kelly shoots left. Staal is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (914).
Home / Away
Kelly
Staal
Home
51.4% (350)
56.7% (727)
Away
45.0% (229)
48.6% (703)
By Period
Kelly
Staal
P1
46.9%
50.9%
P2
53.6%
54.7%
P3
46.8%
51.9%
OT
0.0%
60.9%
Final 5 min
47.8%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
48.9%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 19:23 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 17:24 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 10:29 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 03:44 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 1 | 10:20 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |