Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tierney wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 46.2% vs Staal 52.7% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 59.4%
Defensive zone
Tierney 86.7%
Neutral zone
Tierney 66.3%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Tierney
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Tierney
Staal
Last 7: Tierney 0-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Tierney
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
4
Tierney
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (648)
52.7% (713)
-7.0%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
57.1% (105)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (145)
41.7% (24)
+2.4%
On power play, Tierney has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Tierney is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Tierney shoots left. Staal is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Tierney
Staal
Home
48.5% (394)
56.0% (414)
Away
43.1% (411)
50.0% (428)
By Period
Tierney
Staal
P1
48.7%
49.0%
P2
49.0%
56.3%
P3
40.6%
53.9%
Final 5 min
48.0%
58.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
45.7%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 17:37 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 17:28 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 04:12 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 19, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |