Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 57.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.2% vs Staal 51.0% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 82.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 56.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 68.3%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 65.4%
34.6%
65.4%
Ryan
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Ryan
Staal
Last 7: Ryan 2-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Ryan
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Ryan
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Ryan
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (594)
50.6% (1,026)
+8.5%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
55.0% (211)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (107)
35.0% (20)
+22.9%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Ryan is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Ryan shoots right. Staal is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (410).
Home / Away
Ryan
Staal
Home
57.0% (398)
52.4% (647)
Away
59.5% (358)
49.7% (610)
By Period
Ryan
Staal
P1
56.2%
49.4%
P2
56.9%
53.9%
P3
61.1%
49.1%
Final 5 min
56.1%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
58.2%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2019 | 3 | 10:08 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 17:57 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 03:30 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 11:11 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 18:00 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 09:04 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |