Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Larkin wins 32.8% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 45.5% vs Staal 52.7% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 65.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 52.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 58.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Larkin
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Larkin
Staal
Last 5: Larkin 1-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Larkin
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Larkin
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (81)
52.7% (713)
-12.0%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
57.1% (105)
-15.0%
On power play, Staal has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Larkin is 32.8% vs left-shot opponents (67).
Larkin shoots left. Staal is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Larkin
Staal
Home
44.4% (45)
56.0% (414)
Away
38.2% (55)
50.0% (428)
By Period
Larkin
Staal
P1
46.7%
49.0%
P2
39.3%
56.3%
P3
38.1%
53.9%
Final 5 min
27.3%
58.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
41.0%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 11:34 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 02:32 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 02:18 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 15:37 | Offensive | Eric Staal |