Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.3% vs Staal 49.6% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 67.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 78.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 72.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Larkin
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Larkin
Staal
Last 8: Larkin 6-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
1
Larkin
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
1
Larkin
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (973)
49.6% (779)
+1.4%
Power Play
59.5% (252)
49.7% (179)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (137)
48.8% (41)
+0.8%
On power play, Larkin has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Larkin is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (851).
Larkin shoots left. Staal is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (622).
Home / Away
Larkin
Staal
Home
54.9% (721)
52.0% (542)
Away
49.6% (641)
46.6% (457)
By Period
Larkin
Staal
P1
52.4%
44.2%
P2
50.8%
50.3%
P3
54.4%
52.9%
OT
43.8%
68.8%
Final 5 min
57.8%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.4%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 04:13 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 01:04 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 09:00 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 04:06 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 1 | 01:30 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 1 | 01:22 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2020 | 3 | 06:17 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |