Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Rodrigues 49.6% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 66.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 70.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 53.5%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Staal
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Staal
Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
0
1
Staal
Rodrigues
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Rodrigues
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
54.4% (180)
-4.8%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
32.0% (25)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
36.1% (36)
-0.7%
On even strength, Rodrigues has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Staal is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (268).
Staal shoots left. Rodrigues is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Home / Away
Staal
Rodrigues
Home
46.1% (380)
47.9% (119)
Away
46.3% (363)
50.8% (122)
By Period
Staal
Rodrigues
P1
45.7%
53.8%
P2
46.2%
51.9%
P3
46.5%
43.2%
Final 5 min
47.4%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 06:49 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 08:22 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |