Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 49.1% vs Malkin 44.1% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 62.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 54.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 50.5%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Staal
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Staal
Malkin
Last 8: Staal 4-4 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
3
Staal
Malkin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Malkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Malkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (485)
42.4% (340)
+6.9%
Power Play
50.0% (58)
47.1% (17)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
0.0% (1)
+0.0%
On even strength, Staal has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Staal is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (338).
Staal shoots left. Malkin is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Staal
Malkin
Home
51.7% (265)
43.6% (172)
Away
46.5% (282)
41.4% (186)
By Period
Staal
Malkin
P1
52.7%
43.4%
P2
48.3%
44.2%
P3
46.5%
38.7%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.0%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 09:45 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 03:00 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 00:21 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 00:31 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 12:41 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 10:05 | Defensive | Eric Staal |