Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Malkin 49.4% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 80.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 77.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 56.1%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 80.9%
19.1%
80.9%
Staal
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Staal
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Staal
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
49.0% (811)
+0.6%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
55.8% (43)
-20.8%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
50.0% (2)
-14.6%
On power play, Malkin has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Staal shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Home / Away
Staal
Malkin
Home
46.1% (380)
52.3% (438)
Away
46.3% (363)
46.2% (418)
By Period
Staal
Malkin
P1
45.7%
51.3%
P2
46.2%
50.8%
P3
46.5%
45.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 19:35 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |