Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Compher 48.9% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 56.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 64.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 67.1%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Staal
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Staal
Compher
Last 7: Staal 1-6 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
3
Staal
Compher
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Compher
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
0
2
Staal
Compher
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
49.3% (1,149)
+0.3%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
53.9% (204)
-18.9%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
43.6% (312)
-8.2%
On power play, Compher has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Staal is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (268).
Staal shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Staal
Compher
Home
46.1% (380)
50.7% (872)
Away
46.3% (363)
46.8% (793)
By Period
Staal
Compher
P1
45.7%
49.9%
P2
46.2%
47.9%
P3
46.5%
49.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 05:14 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 09:46 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 12:07 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 05:24 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 03:17 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |