Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Hughes 37.9% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 52.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 96.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 86.4%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 92.9%
92.9%
7.1%
Staal
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Staal
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Hughes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
34.9% (444)
+14.7%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
50.0% (14)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
33.3% (6)
+2.1%
On power play, Hughes has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Staal shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Staal
Hughes
Home
46.1% (380)
37.4% (235)
Away
46.3% (363)
33.2% (229)
By Period
Staal
Hughes
P1
45.7%
37.1%
P2
46.2%
33.7%
P3
46.5%
34.8%
Final 5 min
47.4%
32.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 02:12 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 16:12 | Neutral | Eric Staal |