Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Benn 52.9% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 18-13 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 70.8%
Defensive zone
Benn 53.4%
Neutral zone
Benn 61.8%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Staal
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
13
(31 meetings)
18
13
Staal
Benn
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
7
6
Staal
Benn
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
8
5
Staal
Benn
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
2
Staal
Benn
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
53.5% (6,450)
-3.0%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
52.5% (2,054)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
49.3% (515)
-5.1%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Staal shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Home / Away
Staal
Benn
Home
52.6% (6,558)
54.9% (4,547)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
51.0% (4,488)
By Period
Staal
Benn
P1
50.0%
51.9%
P2
51.1%
52.6%
P3
50.4%
54.0%
OT
55.2%
62.4%
Final 5 min
50.6%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 12:49 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 05:17 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 07:46 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 04:58 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 10:51 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 1, 2019 | 3 | 02:00 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 17:28 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 18:45 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 08:52 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 05:56 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 2 | 06:31 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 1 | 15:07 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 3 | 05:31 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 11:28 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 06:56 | Offensive | Eric Staal |