Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Benn 59.1% (-13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 85.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 73.8%
Neutral zone
Benn 51.0%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Staal
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Staal
Benn
Last 6: Staal 3-3 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
2
Staal
Benn
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Benn
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Staal
Benn
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
61.8% (584)
-12.2%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
56.7% (224)
-21.7%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
56.1% (57)
-20.7%
On power play, Benn has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Staal shoots left. Benn is 64.7% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Staal
Benn
Home
46.1% (380)
64.4% (433)
Away
46.3% (363)
55.8% (432)
By Period
Staal
Benn
P1
45.7%
61.8%
P2
46.2%
59.6%
P3
46.5%
59.2%
Final 5 min
47.4%
62.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 12:49 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 05:17 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 07:46 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 04:58 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |