Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs McClement 52.7% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
McClement leads 20-20 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 83.2%
Defensive zone
McClement 76.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 50.3%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Staal
McClement
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
20
(40 meetings)
20
20
Staal
McClement
Last 10: Staal 3-7 McClement
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
8
2
Staal
McClement
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
5
9
Staal
McClement
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
7
9
Staal
McClement
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
McClement
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
54.4% (4,305)
-3.9%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
62.5% (104)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
47.2% (1,440)
-3.0%
On power play, McClement has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McClement shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Staal shoots left. McClement is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
Home / Away
Staal
McClement
Home
52.6% (6,558)
55.4% (2,788)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
50.4% (3,083)
By Period
Staal
McClement
P1
50.0%
53.5%
P2
51.1%
52.0%
P3
50.4%
53.2%
OT
55.2%
47.9%
Final 5 min
50.6%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 13:38 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 3 | 17:46 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 3 | 06:01 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 3 | 03:59 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 3 | 01:37 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 2 | 17:12 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 2 | 16:55 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 2 | 11:42 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 2 | 06:30 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 1 | 19:31 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 1 | 17:53 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 1 | 17:43 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 1 | 17:41 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 1 | 07:19 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 1 | 05:28 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 1 | 05:16 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Eric Staal |