Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Kotkaniemi 51.3% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 63.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 82.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 59.6%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Staal
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Staal
Kotkaniemi
Last 8: Staal 3-5 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
2
Staal
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
2
Staal
Kotkaniemi
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
1
Staal
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
51.8% (637)
-2.2%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
48.2% (56)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
42.9% (7)
-7.5%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Staal shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (472).
Home / Away
Staal
Kotkaniemi
Home
46.1% (380)
53.1% (339)
Away
46.3% (363)
49.9% (361)
By Period
Staal
Kotkaniemi
P1
45.7%
48.3%
P2
46.2%
55.0%
P3
46.5%
50.4%
Final 5 min
47.4%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 17:45 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 17:54 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 17:07 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 13:55 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 05:30 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 02:20 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 07:24 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |