Scouting Report
Jesse Winchester holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Winchester on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 52.3% vs Winchester 52.5% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 69.0%
Defensive zone
Winchester 64.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 52.0%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Staal
Winchester
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Staal
Winchester
Last 5: Staal 3-2 Winchester
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Winchester
1
2
Staal
Winchester
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Winchester
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Winchester
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Winchester
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (1,228)
55.9% (177)
-3.4%
Power Play
54.1% (281)
66.7% (3)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (136)
46.3% (54)
-0.7%
On power play, Winchester has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Winchester shoots right. Staal is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (613).
Staal shoots left. Winchester is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Staal
Winchester
Home
53.9% (825)
57.1% (98)
Away
51.1% (856)
51.1% (137)
By Period
Staal
Winchester
P1
54.8%
44.6%
P2
54.1%
59.3%
P3
48.6%
55.9%
OT
60.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
52.5%
Winchester
44.0%▼
50.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2012 | 2 | 05:54 | Offensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 1 | 16:07 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 1 | 16:05 | Offensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 2 | 13:22 | Defensive | Eric Staal |