Scouting Report
Jesse Winchester holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Winchester on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Winchester 53.7% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Winchester leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 76.9%
Defensive zone
Winchester 58.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 57.3%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Staal
Winchester
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
Staal
Winchester
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Winchester
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Staal
Winchester
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Winchester
2
7
Staal
Winchester
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Winchester
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Winchester
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
55.2% (716)
-4.7%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
46.7% (15)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
51.4% (175)
-7.2%
On penalty kill, Winchester has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Winchester shoots right. Staal is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,886).
Staal shoots left. Winchester is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Staal
Winchester
Home
52.6% (6,558)
54.7% (459)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
53.4% (451)
By Period
Staal
Winchester
P1
50.0%
47.8%
P2
51.1%
57.8%
P3
50.4%
56.2%
OT
55.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.6%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Winchester
44.0%▼
50.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2014 | 3 | 09:57 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 7, 2014 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 2 | 05:54 | Offensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 1 | 16:07 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 1 | 16:05 | Offensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 2 | 13:22 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 02:56 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jesse Winchester |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 2 | 06:14 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 3 | 09:08 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 2 | 09:41 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 14, 2010 | 2 | 08:44 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |