Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Veleno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Veleno 43.5% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 56.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 72.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 70.8%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Staal
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Staal
Veleno
Last 7: Staal 5-2 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Veleno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal
Veleno
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
42.9% (617)
+6.7%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
37.5% (16)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
33.3% (18)
+2.1%
On even strength, Staal has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Staal shoots left. Veleno is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
Staal
Veleno
Home
46.1% (380)
40.7% (327)
Away
46.3% (363)
44.4% (324)
By Period
Staal
Veleno
P1
45.7%
43.2%
P2
46.2%
42.0%
P3
46.5%
42.4%
Final 5 min
47.4%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 08:11 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 02:07 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 06:28 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 17:12 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 05:45 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 02:45 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 1 | 13:58 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |