Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Ek 49.4% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 52.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 72.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 64.7%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Staal
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Staal
Ek
Last 5: Staal 1-4 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
0
3
Staal
Ek
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Ek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
0
1
Staal
Ek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
48.4% (926)
+1.2%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
55.4% (327)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
41.4% (133)
-6.0%
On power play, Ek has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Staal shoots left. Ek is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (817).
Home / Away
Staal
Ek
Home
46.1% (380)
50.1% (689)
Away
46.3% (363)
48.6% (697)
By Period
Staal
Ek
P1
45.7%
49.5%
P2
46.2%
49.3%
P3
46.5%
48.9%
Final 5 min
47.4%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2023 | 3 | 11:23 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 3 | 10:25 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 2 | 11:59 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 1 | 16:07 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 1 | 08:18 | Defensive | Eric Staal |