Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 48.9%). Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 49.2% vs Ward 49.1% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 60.3%
Defensive zone
Ward 57.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 51.4%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Staal
Ward
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Staal
Ward
Last 7: Staal 3-4 Ward
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ward
0
2
Staal
Ward
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Ward
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Ward
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (958)
52.8% (339)
-3.9%
Power Play
51.7% (145)
48.5% (33)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (71)
33.3% (84)
+14.6%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Staal is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (460).
Staal shoots left. Ward is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Staal
Ward
Home
49.6% (550)
53.4% (251)
Away
48.7% (624)
43.4% (205)
By Period
Staal
Ward
P1
48.9%
49.4%
P2
47.5%
46.9%
P3
51.6%
50.3%
Final 5 min
49.2%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.1%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 03:16 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 00:39 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 12:09 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 08:22 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 04:57 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 1 | 05:06 | Defensive | Joel Ward |