Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Ward 48.4% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 14-11 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 73.2%
Defensive zone
Ward 56.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 58.4%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Staal
Ward
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
11
(25 meetings)
14
11
Staal
Ward
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Ward
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ward
3
5
Staal
Ward
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
8
1
Staal
Ward
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ward
3
5
Staal
Ward
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
51.3% (1,186)
-0.8%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
53.4% (238)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
35.5% (366)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Staal is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,886).
Staal shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Home / Away
Staal
Ward
Home
52.6% (6,558)
50.3% (870)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
46.5% (921)
By Period
Staal
Ward
P1
50.0%
47.6%
P2
51.1%
47.5%
P3
50.4%
50.3%
OT
55.2%
30.8%
Final 5 min
50.6%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2017 | 3 | 12:37 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 03:16 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 00:39 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 12:09 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 08:22 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 04:57 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 1 | 05:06 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 18:53 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 19, 2016 | 1 | 16:32 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 09:04 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 04:08 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 12:42 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 2 | 17:42 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 07:44 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 08:45 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 05:59 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 1 | 03:39 | Offensive | Joel Ward |