Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 48.1% vs Tavares 52.4% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 20-8 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 76.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 72.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 68.4%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
Staal
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
20
(28 meetings)
8
20
Staal
Tavares
Last 10: Staal 2-8 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
9
Staal
Tavares
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
7
Staal
Tavares
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Staal
Tavares
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,219)
52.1% (992)
-4.7%
Power Play
50.8% (356)
53.7% (294)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (141)
50.0% (22)
-2.5%
On even strength, Tavares has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Staal is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,087).
Staal shoots left. Tavares is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (857).
Home / Away
Staal
Tavares
Home
49.8% (880)
51.7% (679)
Away
46.2% (871)
53.4% (640)
By Period
Staal
Tavares
P1
46.4%
52.2%
P2
46.1%
49.3%
P3
50.7%
56.3%
OT
53.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
45.1%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 2 | 00:25 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 1 | 13:35 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 1 | 09:57 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 1 | 07:31 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 3 | 12:03 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 3 | 09:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 3 | 00:13 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 1 | 19:04 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 1 | 18:46 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 1 | 03:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 3 | 03:40 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 3 | 00:36 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 2 | 06:54 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 1 | 14:43 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 3 | 04:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |