Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Staal wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Tavares 57.7% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 51.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 89.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 78.8%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Staal
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Staal
Tavares
Last 10: Staal 3-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Staal
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
6
Staal
Tavares
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
57.5% (914)
-7.9%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
60.5% (309)
-25.5%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
59.1% (22)
-23.7%
On power play, Tavares has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Staal shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Staal
Tavares
Home
46.1% (380)
61.0% (661)
Away
46.3% (363)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Staal
Tavares
P1
45.7%
58.6%
P2
46.2%
57.8%
P3
46.5%
58.4%
Final 5 min
47.4%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 1 | 12:56 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 18:21 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 17:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 03:43 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 01:30 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 01:20 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 18:50 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 08:31 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 05:12 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 12:34 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 03:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |