Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 49.1% vs Tavares 54.7% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 15-6 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 92.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 74.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 87.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 84.2%
15.8%
84.2%
Staal
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
6
(21 meetings)
15
6
Staal
Tavares
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
2
Staal
Tavares
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
6
2
Staal
Tavares
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
2
Staal
Tavares
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (485)
54.5% (692)
-5.2%
Power Play
50.0% (58)
59.1% (149)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
54.5% (11)
-54.5%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Staal is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (338).
Staal shoots left. Tavares is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Home / Away
Staal
Tavares
Home
51.7% (265)
57.9% (404)
Away
46.5% (282)
52.9% (448)
By Period
Staal
Tavares
P1
52.7%
54.2%
P2
48.3%
55.1%
P3
46.5%
56.4%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.0%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 16:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 14:45 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 12:20 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 12:13 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 03:04 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 15:31 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 09:05 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 10:06 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 06:06 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 3 | 17:45 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 2 | 02:58 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 06:32 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 03:46 | Defensive | Eric Staal |