Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (55% H2H, 38 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Toews 57.9% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 60-54 in 114 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 69.0%
Defensive zone
Toews 69.8%
Neutral zone
Toews 65.6%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 68.2%
31.8%
68.2%
Staal
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
60
-
54
(114 meetings)
60
54
Staal
Toews
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
20
21
Staal
Toews
41 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
21
17
Staal
Toews
38 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
19
16
Staal
Toews
35 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
57.2% (13,047)
-6.7%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
63.3% (3,252)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
53.6% (1,810)
-9.4%
On power play, Toews has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Staal shoots left. Toews is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (11,653).
Home / Away
Staal
Toews
Home
52.6% (6,558)
59.7% (9,192)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
56.1% (8,948)
By Period
Staal
Toews
P1
50.0%
58.6%
P2
51.1%
57.8%
P3
50.4%
57.3%
OT
55.2%
58.9%
Final 5 min
50.6%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2020 | OT | 00:25 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 4, 2020 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 15:15 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 15:08 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 07:21 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 07:17 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 00:11 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 06:46 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 03:44 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 03:41 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 08:11 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 10:31 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 07:37 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 07:39 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 05:19 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 04:45 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 04:37 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Eric Staal |