Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +16.9% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Toews 61.9% (-16.9%)
Offensive zone
Toews 80.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 53.2%
Neutral zone
Toews 51.6%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Staal
Toews
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
61.1% (650)
-11.5%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
71.9% (192)
-36.9%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
59.6% (99)
-24.2%
On power play, Toews has a +36.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Staal shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Staal
Toews
Home
46.1% (380)
64.8% (560)
Away
46.3% (363)
60.6% (381)
By Period
Staal
Toews
P1
45.7%
62.3%
P2
46.2%
63.9%
P3
46.5%
62.8%
Final 5 min
47.4%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%