Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 49.6% vs Toews 56.8% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 85.7%
Defensive zone
Toews 89.8%
Neutral zone
Toews 85.8%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 86.5%
13.5%
86.5%
Staal
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Staal
Toews
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Toews
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
2
Staal
Toews
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (779)
55.9% (1,014)
-6.3%
Power Play
49.7% (179)
62.8% (301)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
55.9% (179)
-7.1%
On power play, Toews has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Staal is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (622).
Staal shoots left. Toews is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (903).
Home / Away
Staal
Toews
Home
52.0% (542)
56.6% (709)
Away
46.6% (457)
58.0% (785)
By Period
Staal
Toews
P1
44.2%
60.4%
P2
50.3%
57.6%
P3
52.9%
54.3%
OT
68.8%
59.4%
Final 5 min
47.2%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.5%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2020 | OT | 00:25 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 4, 2020 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 15:15 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 15:08 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 07:21 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 07:17 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 00:11 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 06:46 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 03:44 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 03:41 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |