Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 49.2% vs Lehtera 49.2% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 64.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 62.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 50.7%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Staal
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Staal
Lehtera
Last 5: Staal 4-1 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Lehtera
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Lehtera
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Lehtera
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (958)
50.0% (728)
-1.1%
Power Play
51.7% (145)
50.0% (82)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (71)
18.2% (22)
+29.7%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Staal is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (714).
Staal shoots left. Lehtera is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Staal
Lehtera
Home
49.6% (550)
50.6% (443)
Away
48.7% (624)
47.6% (389)
By Period
Staal
Lehtera
P1
48.9%
52.6%
P2
47.5%
48.6%
P3
51.6%
46.3%
OT
45.5%
55.6%
Final 5 min
49.2%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.1%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 01:28 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 09:06 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 11:54 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 08:46 | Defensive | Eric Staal |