Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.7%). Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Lehtera 50.7% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 56.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 56.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 57.9%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Staal
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Staal
Lehtera
Last 6: Staal 5-1 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Lehtera
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Lehtera
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Lehtera
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
50.4% (2,714)
+0.1%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
55.8% (339)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
41.3% (104)
+2.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Staal shoots left. Lehtera is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,033).
Home / Away
Staal
Lehtera
Home
52.6% (6,558)
53.7% (1,668)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
47.4% (1,489)
By Period
Staal
Lehtera
P1
50.0%
53.2%
P2
51.1%
50.6%
P3
50.4%
48.1%
OT
55.2%
54.3%
Final 5 min
50.6%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2017 | 1 | 15:44 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 01:28 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 09:06 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 11:54 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 08:46 | Defensive | Eric Staal |