Scouting Report
Lane Pederson holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Pederson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Pederson 50.8% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pederson 60.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 64.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 50.1%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Staal
Pederson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Staal
Pederson
Last 6: Staal 3-3 Pederson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Pederson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pederson
1
2
Staal
Pederson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Pederson
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
52.2% (134)
-2.6%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
44.4% (9)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
42.9% (7)
-7.5%
On power play, Pederson has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pederson shoots right. Staal is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (268).
Staal shoots left. Pederson is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Staal
Pederson
Home
46.1% (380)
59.6% (52)
Away
46.3% (363)
46.9% (98)
By Period
Staal
Pederson
P1
45.7%
55.8%
P2
46.2%
44.9%
P3
46.5%
53.1%
Final 5 min
47.4%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Pederson
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 10:18 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 07:51 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 09:51 | Neutral | Lane Pederson |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 03:06 | Neutral | Lane Pederson |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 01:26 | Defensive | Lane Pederson |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 07:29 | Defensive | Eric Staal |