Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Couture 47.6% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 54.9%
Defensive zone
Couture 50.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 52.7%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Staal
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Staal
Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
1
Staal
Couture
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Couture
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
49.2% (1,083)
+0.4%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
56.7% (60)
-21.7%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
35.4% (206)
+0.0%
On power play, Couture has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Staal shoots left. Couture is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (857).
Home / Away
Staal
Couture
Home
46.1% (380)
49.6% (713)
Away
46.3% (363)
45.0% (636)
By Period
Staal
Couture
P1
45.7%
47.2%
P2
46.2%
45.0%
P3
46.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2023 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 03:11 | Offensive | Logan Couture |