Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Barzal 42.2% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 81.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 77.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 83.5%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 81.5%
81.5%
18.5%
Staal
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
9
(22 meetings)
13
9
Staal
Barzal
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
3
Staal
Barzal
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
4
Staal
Barzal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
8
2
Staal
Barzal
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
41.9% (3,565)
+8.6%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
43.4% (205)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
42.3% (26)
+1.9%
On power play, Staal has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Staal is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,886).
Staal shoots left. Barzal is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,699).
Home / Away
Staal
Barzal
Home
52.6% (6,558)
43.1% (1,895)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
40.9% (1,901)
By Period
Staal
Barzal
P1
50.0%
40.7%
P2
51.1%
44.4%
P3
50.4%
41.0%
OT
55.2%
27.6%
Final 5 min
50.6%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 11:59 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 1 | 01:11 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 06:59 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 00:17 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 14:28 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 16:21 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 02:17 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 17:15 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 1 | 17:22 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 15:48 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 15:42 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 02:26 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 18:21 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 16:11 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 3 | 14:47 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 01:19 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 3 | 10:45 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 2 | 17:59 | Neutral | Eric Staal |