Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Barzal 39.3% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 82.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 76.7%
Neutral zone
Barzal 53.9%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Staal
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Staal
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Staal
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
35.0% (283)
+14.6%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
55.6% (9)
-20.6%
On power play, Barzal has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Staal is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (268).
Staal shoots left. Barzal is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Staal
Barzal
Home
46.1% (380)
37.0% (138)
Away
46.3% (363)
34.4% (154)
By Period
Staal
Barzal
P1
45.7%
29.5%
P2
46.2%
44.5%
P3
46.5%
31.8%
Final 5 min
47.4%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 11:59 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |