Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 49.1% vs Barzal 44.9% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 60.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 79.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 74.6%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Staal
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Staal
Barzal
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Barzal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
2
Staal
Barzal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
6
2
Staal
Barzal
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (485)
43.3% (314)
+6.0%
Power Play
50.0% (58)
45.5% (33)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
33.3% (3)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Barzal has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Staal is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Staal shoots left. Barzal is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Staal
Barzal
Home
51.7% (265)
39.9% (168)
Away
46.5% (282)
46.7% (182)
By Period
Staal
Barzal
P1
52.7%
39.0%
P2
48.3%
49.1%
P3
46.5%
43.3%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
30.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.0%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2021 | 1 | 01:11 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 06:59 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 00:17 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 14:28 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 16:21 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 02:17 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 17:15 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 1 | 17:22 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 15:48 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 15:42 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 02:26 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 18:21 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 16:11 | Offensive | Eric Staal |