Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.1% vs Duchene 52.8% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 62.6%
Defensive zone
Duchene 55.9%
Neutral zone
Duchene 62.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Staal
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Staal
Duchene
Last 5: Staal 4-1 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Staal
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (930)
52.6% (1,112)
-1.6%
Power Play
54.4% (125)
56.0% (193)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (60)
49.0% (49)
-0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Staal is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Staal shoots left. Duchene is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (873).
Home / Away
Staal
Duchene
Home
53.5% (561)
55.7% (652)
Away
48.9% (554)
50.4% (702)
By Period
Staal
Duchene
P1
50.1%
51.4%
P2
50.3%
53.9%
P3
53.1%
53.3%
OT
53.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
53.7%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2018 | 3 | 17:53 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 1 | 16:50 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 3 | 19:18 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 3 | 18:34 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 3 | 09:55 | Defensive | Eric Staal |