Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Duchene 52.1% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 90.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 75.0%
Neutral zone
Duchene 55.1%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Staal
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Staal
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
53.9% (193)
-4.3%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
49.2% (65)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
100.0% (1)
-64.6%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +64.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Staal shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Staal
Duchene
Home
46.1% (380)
54.9% (113)
Away
46.3% (363)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Staal
Duchene
P1
45.7%
54.9%
P2
46.2%
52.7%
P3
46.5%
51.9%
Final 5 min
47.4%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 13:19 | Defensive | Eric Staal |