Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs McLeod 58.0% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 12-12 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 85.7%
Defensive zone
McLeod 78.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 56.3%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Staal
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
12
(24 meetings)
12
12
Staal
McLeod
Last 10: Staal 4-6 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
7
3
Staal
McLeod
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
4
7
Staal
McLeod
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Staal
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
59.2% (2,894)
-8.7%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
57.4% (101)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
53.5% (525)
-9.3%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Staal is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,886).
Staal shoots left. McLeod is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,457).
Home / Away
Staal
McLeod
Home
52.6% (6,558)
58.2% (1,647)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
58.4% (1,873)
By Period
Staal
McLeod
P1
50.0%
58.7%
P2
51.1%
59.9%
P3
50.4%
56.3%
OT
55.2%
63.6%
Final 5 min
50.6%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 01:59 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 19:15 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 01:29 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 04:25 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 12:22 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 04:51 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 04:20 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 3 | 16:53 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 3 | 14:14 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 2 | 00:52 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 1 | 15:15 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 1 | 08:31 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 2 | 16:38 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 2 | 13:33 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 1 | 11:08 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 1 | 08:07 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 01:32 | Defensive | Eric Staal |