Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs McLeod 59.6% (-14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 69.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 67.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 72.5%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Staal
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Staal
McLeod
Last 9: Staal 3-6 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Staal
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
3
Staal
McLeod
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Staal
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
61.5% (792)
-11.9%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
65.2% (23)
-30.2%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
55.6% (153)
-20.2%
On power play, McLeod has a +30.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Staal is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (268).
Staal shoots left. McLeod is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (720).
Home / Away
Staal
McLeod
Home
46.1% (380)
62.0% (460)
Away
46.3% (363)
59.4% (508)
By Period
Staal
McLeod
P1
45.7%
61.5%
P2
46.2%
63.6%
P3
46.5%
56.2%
Final 5 min
47.4%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 01:59 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 19:15 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 01:29 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 04:25 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 12:22 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 04:51 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 04:20 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |