Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 52.3% vs Backlund 46.1% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 87.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 55.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 79.7%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 82.8%
82.8%
17.2%
Staal
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Staal
Backlund
Last 7: Staal 5-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (1,228)
45.9% (410)
+6.6%
Power Play
54.1% (281)
44.8% (29)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (136)
42.9% (56)
+2.7%
On power play, Staal has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Staal is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,068).
Staal shoots left. Backlund is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Staal
Backlund
Home
53.9% (825)
49.3% (217)
Away
51.1% (856)
42.3% (279)
By Period
Staal
Backlund
P1
54.8%
44.0%
P2
54.1%
49.4%
P3
48.6%
42.8%
OT
60.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
52.5%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2011 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 3 | 19:28 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 3 | 17:08 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 3 | 06:41 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 1 | 08:35 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 1 | 03:07 | Neutral | Eric Staal |