Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 49.1% vs Backlund 51.7% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 62.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 57.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 53.3%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Staal
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Staal
Backlund
Last 8: Staal 3-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Staal
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
3
Staal
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (485)
53.2% (602)
-3.9%
Power Play
50.0% (58)
56.1% (66)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
39.0% (77)
-39.0%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +39.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Staal is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (338).
Staal shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (521).
Home / Away
Staal
Backlund
Home
51.7% (265)
51.5% (400)
Away
46.5% (282)
52.5% (345)
By Period
Staal
Backlund
P1
52.7%
50.0%
P2
48.3%
56.4%
P3
46.5%
48.9%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.0%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2021 | 1 | 15:25 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 1 | 12:17 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 17:31 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 10:14 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 07:12 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 3 | 12:24 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 06:55 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |