Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 52.3% vs Richards 50.5% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 53.3%
Defensive zone
Richards 57.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 51.5%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Staal
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Staal
Richards
Last 6: Staal 1-5 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
0
1
Staal
Richards
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
0
2
Staal
Richards
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
1
2
Staal
Richards
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (1,228)
50.0% (776)
+2.5%
Power Play
54.1% (281)
50.0% (130)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (136)
54.5% (145)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Staal is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,068).
Staal shoots left. Richards is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (765).
Home / Away
Staal
Richards
Home
53.9% (825)
47.2% (549)
Away
51.1% (856)
54.1% (518)
By Period
Staal
Richards
P1
54.8%
52.5%
P2
54.1%
50.9%
P3
48.6%
47.5%
OT
60.7%
59.1%
Final 5 min
53.0%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
52.5%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2012 | 3 | 03:19 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 3 | 03:02 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 14:23 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 18:34 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 13:31 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Mike Richards |