Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.5%). Look for Richards on defensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Richards 50.5% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 29-13 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 59.8%
Defensive zone
Richards 58.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 51.3%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Staal
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
29
(42 meetings)
13
29
Staal
Richards
Last 10: Staal 3-7 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
4
5
Staal
Richards
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
3
11
Staal
Richards
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
6
13
Staal
Richards
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
50.0% (3,722)
+0.5%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
54.6% (445)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
51.4% (502)
-7.2%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Staal shoots left. Richards is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,122).
Home / Away
Staal
Richards
Home
52.6% (6,558)
50.8% (2,363)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
50.3% (2,336)
By Period
Staal
Richards
P1
50.0%
49.6%
P2
51.1%
52.3%
P3
50.4%
49.3%
OT
55.2%
58.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2016 | 3 | 01:36 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 14:42 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 05:51 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 02:21 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 08:03 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 07:53 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 02:02 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 3 | 13:32 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 08:13 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 3 | 03:41 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 1 | 16:18 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 11, 2013 | OT | 04:58 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 11, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 3 | 14:11 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 3 | 14:06 | Neutral | Mike Richards |