Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.1% vs Richards 48.9% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 61.0%
Defensive zone
Richards 62.8%
Neutral zone
Richards 51.5%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Staal
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Staal
Richards
Last 10: Staal 3-7 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
3
Staal
Richards
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
1
4
Staal
Richards
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (514)
49.5% (529)
-0.7%
Power Play
59.2% (147)
44.4% (36)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
39.3% (28)
+23.2%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Staal is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Staal shoots left. Richards is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Home / Away
Staal
Richards
Home
57.8% (277)
47.9% (292)
Away
46.7% (392)
49.5% (301)
By Period
Staal
Richards
P1
50.0%
46.0%
P2
51.2%
52.0%
P3
53.4%
48.1%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.3%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 14:42 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 05:51 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 02:21 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 08:03 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 07:53 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 02:02 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 3 | 13:32 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 08:13 | Defensive | Eric Staal |