Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 49.1% vs Thompson 50.3% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 60.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 70.9%
Neutral zone
Thompson 61.4%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Staal
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Staal
Thompson
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
2
Staal
Thompson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
3
Staal
Thompson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (485)
49.6% (230)
-0.3%
Power Play
50.0% (58)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
53.8% (52)
-53.8%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +53.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Staal is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (338).
Staal shoots left. Thompson is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Staal
Thompson
Home
51.7% (265)
52.2% (134)
Away
46.5% (282)
48.7% (150)
By Period
Staal
Thompson
P1
52.7%
54.5%
P2
48.3%
48.0%
P3
46.5%
48.2%
Final 5 min
49.0%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.0%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2021 | 3 | 02:05 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 2 | 11:47 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 07:17 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 02:07 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 19:31 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 10:18 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 10:13 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 07:19 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 10:02 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 02:06 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |