Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 37 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Thompson 52.9% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 64-52 in 116 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 65.0%
Defensive zone
Thompson 87.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 62.1%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Staal
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
64
-
52
(116 meetings)
64
52
Staal
Thompson
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
30
7
Staal
Thompson
37 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
13
25
Staal
Thompson
38 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
21
20
Staal
Thompson
41 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
54.1% (5,812)
-3.6%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
54.8% (135)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
47.9% (1,381)
-3.7%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Staal shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Home / Away
Staal
Thompson
Home
52.6% (6,558)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Staal
Thompson
P1
50.0%
53.2%
P2
51.1%
52.9%
P3
50.4%
52.8%
OT
55.2%
47.9%
Final 5 min
50.6%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2021 | 3 | 02:05 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 2 | 11:47 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 07:17 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 02:07 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 19:31 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 10:18 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 10:13 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 07:19 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 10:02 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 02:06 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 1 | 08:57 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 3 | 16:11 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 3 | 05:48 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 2 | 14:55 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 1 | 14:21 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 1 | 08:35 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 16:58 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 07:25 | Defensive | Eric Staal |