Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 35-26 in 61 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 70.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 57.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 75.3%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
Staal
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
26
(61 meetings)
35
26
Staal
MacKinnon
Last 10: Staal 5-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
13
6
Staal
MacKinnon
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
10
7
Staal
MacKinnon
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
12
13
Staal
MacKinnon
25 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
46.1% (11,218)
+4.4%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
53.3% (1,412)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
42.8% (502)
+1.4%
On even strength, Staal has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Staal is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,886).
Staal shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Staal
MacKinnon
Home
52.6% (6,558)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Staal
MacKinnon
P1
50.0%
47.4%
P2
51.1%
46.6%
P3
50.4%
46.1%
OT
55.2%
48.4%
Final 5 min
50.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 17:09 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 13:25 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:35 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 06:54 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 06:29 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 13:47 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 9, 2020 | 2 | 07:39 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 10:41 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 1 | 18:24 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 08:32 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 05:53 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 3 | 18:06 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 19:33 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 04:25 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 11:48 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 11:36 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 01:06 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Eric Staal |