Scouting Report
Nathan Walker holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Walker on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Walker shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Walker 52.3% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 57.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 67.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 62.0%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Staal
Walker
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Staal
Walker
Last 6: Staal 2-4 Walker
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Walker
1
2
Staal
Walker
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Walker
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Walker
0
1
Staal
Walker
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Walker
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
54.5% (165)
-4.9%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
50.0% (2)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
40.0% (10)
-4.6%
On power play, Walker has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Walker shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Staal shoots left. Walker is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Staal
Walker
Home
46.1% (380)
57.7% (111)
Away
46.3% (363)
47.0% (66)
By Period
Staal
Walker
P1
45.7%
61.2%
P2
46.2%
45.2%
P3
46.5%
56.1%
Final 5 min
47.4%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Walker
52.0%▼
56.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 19:50 | Defensive | Nathan Walker |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 19:18 | Offensive | Nathan Walker |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 17:37 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 17:24 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 17:12 | Neutral | Nathan Walker |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 07:52 | Offensive | Nathan Walker |