Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.7%). Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Dowd 50.7% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 22-6 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 70.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 57.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 53.2%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Staal
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
22
(28 meetings)
6
22
Staal
Dowd
Last 10: Staal 1-9 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
5
Staal
Dowd
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
11
Staal
Dowd
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
6
Staal
Dowd
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
52.4% (6,009)
-1.9%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
56.1% (164)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
44.1% (1,635)
+0.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Staal is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,886).
Staal shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Staal
Dowd
Home
52.6% (6,558)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Staal
Dowd
P1
50.0%
51.7%
P2
51.1%
50.4%
P3
50.4%
50.3%
OT
55.2%
45.9%
Final 5 min
50.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:36 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 16:21 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 06:30 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 00:08 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 02:05 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 18:46 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 3 | 15:01 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 11:54 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 11:12 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 24, 2021 | OT | 02:49 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 10:33 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 3 | 11:00 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 22, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 22, 2019 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 9, 2018 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 14, 2018 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 14, 2018 | 2 | 08:17 | Offensive | Eric Staal |