Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Dowd 50.7% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 62.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 88.5%
Neutral zone
Dowd 65.0%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 65.0%
35.0%
65.0%
Staal
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Staal
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
55.2% (625)
-5.6%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
57.1% (7)
-22.1%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
38.2% (220)
-2.8%
On power play, Dowd has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Staal is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (268).
Staal shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Staal
Dowd
Home
46.1% (380)
53.7% (445)
Away
46.3% (363)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Staal
Dowd
P1
45.7%
48.8%
P2
46.2%
49.3%
P3
46.5%
54.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:36 | Neutral | Eric Staal |