Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Suzuki 47.5% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 63.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 68.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 55.9%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Staal
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Staal
Suzuki
Last 7: Staal 3-4 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Staal
Suzuki
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Suzuki
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
47.0% (1,066)
+2.6%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
49.5% (204)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
46.6% (131)
-11.2%
On power play, Suzuki has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Staal is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (268).
Staal shoots left. Suzuki is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Home / Away
Staal
Suzuki
Home
46.1% (380)
49.4% (686)
Away
46.3% (363)
45.3% (715)
By Period
Staal
Suzuki
P1
45.7%
45.6%
P2
46.2%
46.9%
P3
46.5%
49.8%
Final 5 min
47.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 18:18 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 19:50 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 05:00 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 18:21 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 09:31 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 06:22 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 15:45 | Defensive | Eric Staal |